Dec 10 2008

Global Worming (no that is not a mistake)!

I never though I would see it come to this.  The scientific method has been thrown out the window for media bluster with politics in mind and a startling consensus is reached before any real research has even begun. You see, the scientific method requires certain assumptions that produces a theory but the problem is that any theory is only as good as the assumptions.  The assumption I speak of is that CO2 is an atmospheric green house gas and as it increases,  temperature rises. Since humans produce CO2 more now than at any time in the past, the temperature will rise accordingly.  This theory was accepted in the popular press as a “law” long before the testing has really started. This effectively thwarts the scientific method. You remember that “everyone knows that CO2 will cause the temperature to rise”!  It was global cooling in 1976.  Are there any other skeptics out there listening? (Don’t admit it publically if you are a skeptic because you will be pigeon holed into the holocaust denier group.).

Worse, scientists who disagree with the “theory” are being personally attacked.  Some global warmers are even calling to forcefully “silence” dissenters by yanking their certifications.    How can a skeptical scientist be marginalized when by questioning weak assumptions based on marginalized data, they are being good scientists.    Worse, many politicians are coming out strongly in favor of this “global warming” concept even though a majority of them have no training in or understanding of the science.  They are simply paying lip service to those that are totally brainwashing populations into the fear mongering social control that “abrupt cataclysmic climate change” causes.

I have no doubt that “green living” is better than the way most of us live now.  I am probably the most green person you have read about having the only solar/electric grid inter-tie (3kW) in northeastern Wyoming up and running.  Additionally, I converted a pickup truck to run on Propane fuel.   I own a 35 mpg car (as an option to my other necessary 4×4 vehicles living 14 miles from the nearest asphalt road). I even have gone to the trouble/expense of replacing 90 percent of my electric bulbs with efficient compact fluorescent bulbs (can you say hazardous material?), put in energy efficient everything else and have been known to keep my tire pressure at the proper level.  Ok, granted we can do more to “save” the environment. What I can’t stand is, that science is being greatly misused, hijacked and abused by politics and certain businessmen for whatever subversive purpose.  You really have to ask yourself this question from an informed view point and not buy into the current “popular” notion. I suspect that we will be talking about the greatest scientific hoax of the 21st century around the year 2025 when the10th year of the next global cooling cycles concludes.  (As a result of reduced solar activity and lack of sunspots)

As a fairlywell informed earth scientist, I remind you that we are just passengers on our really big complicated planet.  I still dare any of these global warming “hawks” to tell me what the temperature will be in Broadus Montana next week to a degree accuracy let alone tell me that the whole planet will warm 1 degree average over the next 10 years.  The only thing that is warm there is the cow pies being produced by politicians and fund seeking researchers. (Oh, by the way, cattle are one of the biggest sources of “greenhouse” gasses right behind termites).

FB


Dec 6 2008

Global Warming again?

Ahhh for the good old days of global warming….

Back in 2005, I was ranting in the pages of the Powder River Examiner (and others)on the Climate Gloom/Doom Folks called Global Warmers and made the prediction that we will be wishing for the good old warm days around 2025. By then the new global cooling trend (started in 2010) really starts kicking in.  I said then, “don’t sell your snowmobiles”. It is starting to look like I was right.

I have been studying the earth past and present seriously for 35 years now.  I have always been an earth scientist who believed that the sun’s variable activity dominates the warming or cooling of the planet (duhhh).  There has always been a large body of evidence supporting this idea in contrast to what the “consensus of scientists” would have you believe.  Slowly coming into the light of day (and the press) are the Solar scientists.  Here is another spin for you, it appears that our sun is going into a period where it is cooling off.  It all has to do with sunspots.  To explain it very basically, many sunspots on the sun’s surface denote a very active sun which is more energetic (hotter) than a sun without sunspots.  Sunspots come and go in periods denoting high and low activity every 11 or so years taking 22 years average to complete the cycle.  It comes as no surprise that the Sun’s most active period in over 11,000 years was during the end of the 20th century.  Amazingly, the last 10 years have displayed a clear cooling trend as temperatures post-1998 leveled out and now appear to be dropping globally. This corresponds to a long weak sunspot cycle ending in a whimper followed by the next cycle that seems reluctant to start. Temperatures world wide have already fallen by about 1/2 degree C over the last year apparently as a result of this very long drawn out solar sunspot minimum.  I have heard whispers in the scientific community that we may be heading into another really long solar minimum similar to the Maunder Minimum (a little ice age) back in the 18th century.  There were almost NO sunspots during the Maunder minimum (as in less that 50 total sunspots in over 60 years instead of a typical 40,000).  Solar scientist universally agree that the sun in going into a minimum period and if the solar cycle plays out the way that it appears to be going, we may loose 2 degrees centigrade over the next two decades.

Unfortunately, such observations make little difference to the public relations machine that is in goose step with the Global Warming bandwagon.  Those GW worshipers will continue to legislate new ways to control our energy use, the way we live and the way we travel with a good profit in it for some of them. (Sounds like a mutated form of communism to me). I guess that I am just too dense to see the significant effect of the 1 additional part CO2 in 10000 air that man has added during the industrialization of the globe, considering a climate system as vast as the earths.  Maybe the answer was up there every day staring us in the face giving Al Gore a tan in the process.

Frank Bliss

Copyright 2008