Feb 20 2009

SO2 is the real cause of Global Warming

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Let me be the first to tell you what is actually happening with the climate.

A retired USGS Geologist and all around brilliant guy, Dr. Peter Ward (from Jackson Hole, WY) has just published this week a VERY impressive paper (I was lucky enough to review it prior to publication) which clearly throws some light on the Carbon Dioxide’s role in “Global Warming”.  While Carbon Dioxide has gotten BIG billing as the culprit green house gas, Dr. Ward’s data clearly shows that CO2 did not initiate the warming that the climate experienced up until 1998 (been cooling since).  That prestigious honor is given to Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) which is emitted by volcano’s and burning fossil fuel.
The paper published just this month indicates that the the largest temperature increases in the last 46,000 years has occurred while volcanism was very active.  These volcanos pumped too much SO2  into the atmosphere at once.  Over the last 2,000 years, the big eruptions occurred at the rate of one per century, but man (since 1962) has been putting as much SO2 into the air as those big volcano’s every 1.7 years.  It just so happens that in 1979, there were global efforts to curtail and regulate Sulfur Dioxide because of another of it’s effects called acid rain. These efforts cut emissions significantly by 2000 and global temperatures stopped increasing, a current trend that CO2 climate models aren’t able to account for.
The green house effect of SO2 is indirect.  The more SO2 in the upper atmosphere, the less the atmosphere can cleanse itself of other green house gasses particularly Methane (CH4 also known as natural gas).  Methane is a green house gas with many times the ability to trap heat that CO2 has.  Normally sunlight causes Ozone and other chemicals to form which breaks down the methane which normally resides in the atmosphere for around 27 days.  Too much SO2 stops the normal atmospheric cleansing and allows methane a longer residency time causing it to build up.  This in turn causes temperatures to build but since we stopped introducing as much SO2, the time lag was around 20 years for the atmosphere to once again clean itself up and cool down.
This cooling should continue unless a major volcano occurs (temporary cooling by the SO2 aerosol followed by significant warming from accumulated methane) or we allow developing countries like china to use high sulfur coal without effective scrubbing on their power plants.  I am talking to Dr. Ward about working the suns output into the mix as it does change from time to time.  If you ask a solar scientist what causes global warming, he says “the sun”.  A variable sun has something to do with some of it, but we will have to wait until this is through into the mix to know the total picture.  There is a strong correlation between low numbers of sunspots (inactive sun) and cooling but that is for another paper later.
Suffice to say that I am pretty convinced by the impressive data set presented Dr. Ward paper that SO2 is the big culprit and that CO2 is just a minor player in global warming.  Let’s hope that our government doesn’t buy into wholesale elimination of CO2 production and completely change the economy back to the middle ages (It was much warmer then than now!  Just look it up.)  We don’t need electricity prices tripling in the next 10 years like will occur if “Cap and Trade” legislation passes our congress and hits our industries.  This scientific paper needs to circulate big time and you heard about it here first.
For more details, visit Dr. Ward’s website at www.tetontectonics.org

Dec 10 2008

Global Worming (no that is not a mistake)!

I never though I would see it come to this.  The scientific method has been thrown out the window for media bluster with politics in mind and a startling consensus is reached before any real research has even begun. You see, the scientific method requires certain assumptions that produces a theory but the problem is that any theory is only as good as the assumptions.  The assumption I speak of is that CO2 is an atmospheric green house gas and as it increases,  temperature rises. Since humans produce CO2 more now than at any time in the past, the temperature will rise accordingly.  This theory was accepted in the popular press as a “law” long before the testing has really started. This effectively thwarts the scientific method. You remember that “everyone knows that CO2 will cause the temperature to rise”!  It was global cooling in 1976.  Are there any other skeptics out there listening? (Don’t admit it publically if you are a skeptic because you will be pigeon holed into the holocaust denier group.).

Worse, scientists who disagree with the “theory” are being personally attacked.  Some global warmers are even calling to forcefully “silence” dissenters by yanking their certifications.    How can a skeptical scientist be marginalized when by questioning weak assumptions based on marginalized data, they are being good scientists.    Worse, many politicians are coming out strongly in favor of this “global warming” concept even though a majority of them have no training in or understanding of the science.  They are simply paying lip service to those that are totally brainwashing populations into the fear mongering social control that “abrupt cataclysmic climate change” causes.

I have no doubt that “green living” is better than the way most of us live now.  I am probably the most green person you have read about having the only solar/electric grid inter-tie (3kW) in northeastern Wyoming up and running.  Additionally, I converted a pickup truck to run on Propane fuel.   I own a 35 mpg car (as an option to my other necessary 4×4 vehicles living 14 miles from the nearest asphalt road). I even have gone to the trouble/expense of replacing 90 percent of my electric bulbs with efficient compact fluorescent bulbs (can you say hazardous material?), put in energy efficient everything else and have been known to keep my tire pressure at the proper level.  Ok, granted we can do more to “save” the environment. What I can’t stand is, that science is being greatly misused, hijacked and abused by politics and certain businessmen for whatever subversive purpose.  You really have to ask yourself this question from an informed view point and not buy into the current “popular” notion. I suspect that we will be talking about the greatest scientific hoax of the 21st century around the year 2025 when the10th year of the next global cooling cycles concludes.  (As a result of reduced solar activity and lack of sunspots)

As a fairlywell informed earth scientist, I remind you that we are just passengers on our really big complicated planet.  I still dare any of these global warming “hawks” to tell me what the temperature will be in Broadus Montana next week to a degree accuracy let alone tell me that the whole planet will warm 1 degree average over the next 10 years.  The only thing that is warm there is the cow pies being produced by politicians and fund seeking researchers. (Oh, by the way, cattle are one of the biggest sources of “greenhouse” gasses right behind termites).

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